Many House members are vulnerable. Here’s the Top 10
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The article provides a comprehensive overview of the current political landscape in the House of Representatives as the 2024 elections draw near. With Republicans aiming to expand their narrow majority and Democrats eager to reclaim lost seats, the competition is fierce across numerous districts. Inside Elections identifies nine incumbents in Toss-up races, with an additional 17 rated as Tilt Democratic or Tilt Republican. The ranking of the most vulnerable members is based on insights from party insiders, interest group leaders, and an analysis of district dynamics. Notably, Republicans from California and New York are at risk, having won seats in 2022 that had previously supported Biden.
The Democrats are targeting these "Biden-district Republicans" while also defending their own vulnerable members in states like Washington and Alaska. The article notes that some incumbents have improved their prospects, while others have fallen off the list due to primary losses or expulsion from Congress. This evolving landscape will continue to change as crucial fundraising results are reported in mid-October.